Christopher Bouzy
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My election forecast models do not rely on polls and are often within a point or two of the actual results. However, Democrats are currently surpassing the upper bounds of my most optimistic models. This suggests an unexpected trend is unfolding that even my models are missing.
11:30 AM - Feb 14, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Today 12 Feb Is the deadline for Trump legal team to appeal his Immunity ruling, if Trump wants to take it to the Supreme Court

Trump desperately needs the delay. Expect his team to file today

And...

Expect SCOTUS to deny certiary, so decline to hear his case, by which they affirm: No immunity!
09:54 AM - Feb 12, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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One wild guess, if I may?

Jack Smith said in his 8 Feb filing to court in Florida that he has another crime (with at least one so-far unknown witness) of Trump being readied. We knew he had another Grand Jury sitting

After Immunity is decided, we may see Jack Smith indictment number 3

Stay tuned
09:59 AM - Feb 12, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Ok, this is now officially weird

So today there are totally normal 'ex parte' hearings at Judge Cannon office in Florida. It's about the redacted documents

But WHY IS TRUMP suddenly attending a routine meeting of his attorneys?

Trump is scared of something big. He is wasting his day on THIS?
02:02 PM - Feb 12, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Trump has now filed with Supreme Court asking his demand of absolute criminal Immunity to be affirmed by SCOTUS. This was his deadline today to file, else the DC court can return to prosecuting Trump with Jack Smith's indictment about Jan 6

https://www.documentcloud....
04:47 PM - Feb 12, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Am not taking a victory lap yet

Let's see if this ends up being the case

But now we have reporting that the first criminal trial in Trump's life is about to be....

Manhattan

If so, told-you-so

But let's wait this out, it still IS a race on who gets him first
11:25 AM - Feb 09, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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As we enjoy the spanking in Florida

And anticipate the leapfrog of Manhattan criminal trial happening BEFORE the DC trial, and now Manhattan could happen late March

I remind you of THIS

In a criminal trial Trump MUST ATTEND every session. He must sit STILL - or he WILL BE GAGGED
#LetTrumpBeTrump
11:44 AM - Feb 09, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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LOVING IT !!!

Joe Biden is so old that Donald Trump says he needs immunity to assassinate Americans

Joe Biden is so old that Donald Trump thinks a glass of water will extinguish magnetism

Joe Biden is so old that Donald Trump is convinced Finland somehow rakes its forests
12:23 PM - Feb 09, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Reminder about Weisselberg flip

He knows Trump crimes:

Running biggest tax fraud in US history
Money laundering for the Mafia
Sanctions busting for Putin 2014-2015
Bribes to Trump selling Presidential pardons
Bribes to Trump selling classified docs to Saudis
Bribes to Trump selling SCOTUS seats
02:51 AM - Feb 08, 2024
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Dave
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MAGA Convoy Confused By Lack Of 'Invasion' As They Arrive At Border

https://www.meidastouch.co...
10:23 AM - Feb 04, 2024
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Drfeck
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In case you had any doubts...
10:33 AM - Feb 04, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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When Weisselberg flips fully against Trump (he does or has just now done)

Has to confess all crimes he knows

That Trump bribed him NOW with $2M
Trump business fraud
That tax fraud Barbara Jones found
Money laundering for Mafia
Bribes for pardons
Trump SANCTIONS BUSTING for Putin before was POTUS
11:56 PM - Feb 01, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Tweeps! It is your favorite script writer at work again

(Tarantino is here?)

No, ME !!! Your T Dawg!

[severe disappointment]

We're doing a Broadway Play today! A play in Three Acts. Which of course means, logically, that it is in four parts

I have 4 part play expected for February... enjoy
05:09 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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GROUNDHOG DAY AT THE COURTHOUSE
(part 1 of 4)

LETITIA JAMES: We showed this court $370 million dollars in fraud committed by Trump. Did this fraud happen?

WEISSELBERG: Yes

LETITIA JAMES: How do you know it happened?

WEISSELBERG: Because I committed it. It is my handwriting on my ledgers...
05:12 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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GROUNDHOG DAY AT THE COURTHOUSE
(part 2 of 4)

LETITIA JAMES: Were you aware that this Court ordered Mr Trump to not move any money out of his businesses

WEISSELBERG: Yes

LETITIA JAMES: This letter from Barbara Jones states Mr Trump moved $40 million

WEISSELBERG: Yes he did. I moved that money
05:25 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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GROUNDHOG DAY AT THE COURTHOUSE
(part 3 of 4)

LETITIA JAMES: About this $48 million dollar 'ghost loan' Mr Trump had in Chicago, you said that's a tax dodge

WEISSELBERG: Yes

LETITIA JAMES: How do you know it was tax evasion & not accounting error?

WEISSELBERG: Because I created it as a tax dodge
05:32 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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What's up T Dawg? Where is part 4? We want to know how Groundhog Day At The Courthouse ends!

Relax, my dear dear Tweeps. This is a Broadway play! There is always an intermission. We are now at the intermission and the audience gets to meet some of the actors, it is great fun

Part 4 coming soon
06:14 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Now, the conclusion of

GROUNDHOG DAY AT THE COURTHOUSE
(part 4 of 4)

ENGORON: Mr Kise, where's your colleague, the charming Ms Habba

KISE: Your honor, Ms Alina Habba can't join us today, she had a personal emergency

ENGORON; My dear, hope it wasn't serious

KISE: Not at all. She hasn't been paid
06:34 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Here at the INTERMISSION of our Broadaway play Groundhog Day At The Courthouse, the actors are hogging their wares, selling T shirts and Magahats - Make Actors Great Again - and this wonderful collection of Engoron Carols. Get yours today!

(T DAWG! We want PART 4, the ENDING to the play!)
06:23 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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By Q4, two thirds of Defendant Trump campaign donations went to his legal bills. He raised $19 million, paid out more than $12 million in legal fees

Meanwhile President Biden raised $33 million in Q4.

Dark Brandon rising... :-)
JC_🇺🇸 @JC_
Trump campaign OUTRAISED by Biden, legal bills a drag

Trump's election campaign reported raising $19 million versus the $33 million reported by Biden's campaign.

#VoteBLUE #BidenHarris2024

https://www.reuters.com/wo...
09:34 AM - Feb 02, 2024
09:52 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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A point about Weisselberg flip

He can testify of Trump crimes:

Money laundering for the Mafia
Sanctions busting for Putin 2014-2015
Putin money via NRA to Trump 2016 campaign
Trump bribes to sell SCOTUS seats
Trump bribes to sell Presidential pardons
Trump bribes to sell classified docs to Saudis
10:08 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Did you see the brand new Playbill?

In case you missed it - WE HAVE A NEW PLAY !!! Just written last night. It opened* to exceptional reviews, see what unbelievable response my brand new play received:

GROUNDHOG DAY AT THE COURTHOUSE

Scroll down about 15 postings for it

* and promptly closed
10:39 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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JonCooper
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Even more embarrassing for Dean Phillips than losing to President Biden by nearly 95 points is that he finished third after crackpot Marianne Williamson. The guy is burnt toast.
10:33 AM - Feb 04, 2024
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Deb Della Piana
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Next to Americans' denial about the fact that we are one election away from fascism, this is the topic they are most in denial about. In both cases, the evidence is right in front of their faces. Yet, in many cases, they'd rather simply not deal and pretend all of this will simply work itself out.
10:36 AM - Feb 04, 2024
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Charles Gaba
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📣 OREGON can be dangerously misleading. On the surface it seems blue but much of the state is radically red. Help ensure Democrats hold onto the centerpiece of the West Coast; donate today! #Blue24

https://secure.actblue.com...
10:51 AM - Feb 04, 2024
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Original Barby With a Y
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You are the best Tomi
Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps @tomiahonen
(the sound you hear is the thunderous roar of silence as a total of two readers reacted to the online premiere of that magnificent off-off-off-Broadway play, Groundhog Day At The Courthouse. The cast, director and playwright are all taking their bows now on the stage ...to a totally empty room)
07:06 AM - Feb 02, 2024
08:44 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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And for the few of you who were awake at this witching hour to see that play, thanks for following along. That was very much fun to write. And yes, it is plausible that Judge Engoron reopens the trial - if Weisselberg has now flipped & recants his testimony, that could happen like I wrote...
07:09 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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GOOD MORNING TO MY TWEEPS

If you missed it, WE HAVE A PLAY !!!

Last night, while you were asleep, some little elves went and wrote a PLAY. A four part play, and published it HERE into my timeline. It is called GROUNDHOG DAY AT THE COURTHOUSE and the reviews have been BRUTAL

Scroll down about 10
08:15 AM - Feb 02, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Trumpomath!

Tax Evasion! Biggest convicted tax frauds in US history:

Castroneves $80M
Millard $100M
Carpoff $120M
Daugerdas $165M
Anderson $200M

Trump used that ghost loan of $48M uncovered by Barbara Jones in Engoron case, for tax fraud worth $300 million

HE IS BIGGEST TAX CHEAT EVER

Bigly!
12:45 AM - Feb 01, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Yo T Dawg Raps
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Tristan is usually a very good source

It seems our Engoron decision will be delayed by a few days. This is not official. But Tristan is a well connected former prosecutor from NY and I trust he would not put this out unless he considers it solid

We can take a pause, put the Champagne back on ice
03:35 PM - Jan 31, 2024
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