Nadin Abbott

This free Substack goes some into disinformation, but also into antisemitism. It has become the new normal for American Jews. What is old is new again.

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Active Measures in US Colleges - by Nadin Brzezinski

Propaganda as a Tool of Influence.

06:58 PM - Apr 25, 2024

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Aid is on the way. This showed some cracks, but we all got a lesson in American civics.

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The Aid is Flowing Again… - by Nadin Brzezinski

“I’m making sure the shipments start right away. In the next few hours — literally in a few hours — we are going to begin sending equipment to Ukraine for air defense munitions, artillery for rocket systems, and armored vehicles.” Joe Biden It’s been a long six months. I am sure it took far longer f..

04:21 PM - Apr 24, 2024

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Aid has passed the House. We wait on the Senate. The Russian reaction was telling.

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The Aid Package Passes the House - by Nadin Brzezinski

Saturday, the aid package to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan passed the house. This is a critical point in the war. Ukraine needs this aid to stabilize the line. They were already husbanding ammunition, in particular 155 mm artillery shells. Now it is up to the Senate to do this, and they are expected t..

04:46 PM - Apr 22, 2024

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We seem to be on a de escalation ladder. We have inferential data that points this way. Given the importance of this, free Substack

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Middle East Deescalation Ladder - by Nadin Brzezinski

As you all know, Israel did attack deep inside Iran last night. What they used is still in question. If there is one thing that makes the life of Open Source hard, it is that Israel is not telling, and Iran is denying all damage. Watching Russia, another closed society, tells me there was some damag..

08:14 PM - Apr 19, 2024

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Elite formation and replacement is essential in autocratic states. We are at a crossroads for Russia.

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07:04 PM - Apr 18, 2024

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The aid vote has been scheduled. I am not counting on it happening because of a possible discharge petition.

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07:31 PM - Apr 17, 2024

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This is about a dangerous dynamic we usually speak about. This is how nations can blame others for their issues, essentially externalizing responsibility for internal issues. Free Substack.

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Victimhood, Excuses and Hate - by Nadin Brzezinski

We all have been watching Russia for two-plus years blame everybody for their failures. Yes, it’s always the pesky Anglo-Saxons that, like Scooby-Doo and the gang, stop them. The glorious Russian empire, forgive me, the Russian World, will soon overcome these meddling children.

09:04 PM - Apr 16, 2024

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Disasters in closed societies can lead to unexpected events. We saw that after Chernobyl and the Mexico City 1985 quake

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07:11 PM - Apr 15, 2024

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We are now on an escalation ladder. I expect an Israeli response, the question is how bd when.

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Escalation Ladder - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's

Last night, Israel and her allies intercepted 99 percent of all hardware launched at Israel. The damage in Israel was relatively minor. It includes one ten-year-old killed, another young one in intensive care, and six more who were moderate to light injuries. All were Bedouins in the south. So ironi..

04:35 PM - Apr 14, 2024

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War is not just in the physical domain. It’s also information warfare. Open societies are not good at it. We need to learn to do this fast. This is a free Substack

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Hybrid Warfare and Open Societies - by Nadin Brzezinski

There is something to be said about high-level information warfare. We are not good at it. And boy, the Israelis make us look nearly competent. Given the neighborhood, I am shocked at how bad they are. Why are we so bad at it? I suspect it is the Paradox of tolerance

05:47 PM - Apr 11, 2024

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We are at a moment when it seems we are trying to control events as we head towards war. It’s time to be honest

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Oil, the US, Geopolitics - by Nadin Brzezinski

There are days when geopolitics intersects with our elections and somewhat lousy policy. Yes, bombing Russian oil infrastructure could be a problem. Yes, it could raise the fuel price for the average American consumer. Never mind that if we get into a major war, the cost of gas will be the last of o..

08:50 PM - Apr 10, 2024

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Holes in radar coverage, infrastructure failures, with some hybrid warfare. It’s a full menu today

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Consequences... - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's

Consequences of the flooding at Orsk are emerging. This one has large military implications. It implies a significant hole in the early warning system of the Russian Federation. With no further, here you go: Due to flooding in Orsk , the Voronezh M radar has stopped operating, there is a threat of f..

06:55 PM - Apr 09, 2024

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There are a few more fractures in the ice. Also disasters like the flooding at Orsk can bring doubts in authoritarian spaces

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06:46 PM - Apr 08, 2024

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Here is a practical example of how to spot disinformation. To be honest, it’s a very good piece, because you need very specific knowledge to spot it. But this runs across multiple issues and media. Free Substack

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How to Spot Disinformation: A Practical Example

So last night, the following post appeared on Israeli Telegram, which quoted a Syrian channel. They took the bait because they seemed unable to catch it. This is good disinformation and an excellent piece to explain how this works. The only difference may be the language because Russians do the same..

07:12 PM - Apr 06, 2024

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It’s important to remember wars are not just lines on a map, or high level logistics. So from time to time I find the words of civilians.

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Let's Talk Kharkiv - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's

Let me start this piece with the words of a resident of Kharkiv. It honestly sounds like a wartime diary (it is), like what we saw during the Second World War. I am introducing you to the words of a real person trapped in the impossible condition of war. Why is she posting this? I will cover this in..

05:53 PM - Apr 04, 2024

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Are we heading to a larger regional conflict? Free Substack

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Rising Tensions in the Middle East - by Nadin Brzezinski

After Israel hit a building in Damascus, killing senior members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, Iran has threatened revenge. I will add this piece of spice. The building was not covered under diplomatic immunity. At least according to a local Syrian channel:

07:37 PM - Apr 03, 2024

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Ukraine is hitting far inside the Russian Federation, and we are trying to have it both ways.

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Russian Designs and Ukrainian Capabilities

GoebbelsTV announced the goal of the “SVO” — the destruction of Ukraine and nothing more . Got it? Spirituality, culture, history — these are all fairy tales. Modern Russia has one thing in common — the desire to destroy the normal world. This quote above is short. It has a video of Soloviev life at..

07:10 PM - Apr 02, 2024

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Once again, we are heading to war, while Russia tightens the screws.

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Tightening of Screws and a Coming War - by Nadin Brzezinski

So, this came across over the weekend. Given Russian history, it’s pretty likely. In the 1920s, the NKVD did this. It was a terror. this led to a lot of show trials. Between 1936 and 1938, arguably, the cream of the Russian officer corp ended up dead or in the gulag.

03:48 PM - Apr 01, 2024

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And here we are, where Donald Trump may have a role with events in Moscow.

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Crocus City Hall and Trump - by Nadin Brzezinski

So, while reading Telegram today, I saw that this stood up. It was one of those screaming, an onion with multiple layers. And I will be candid: this did not surprise me. Russia is counting on Donald Trump's return to the White House. Why Crocus City Hall? One of Gulagu.net’s sources told us tha..

05:51 PM - Mar 29, 2024

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We may be heading towards elections in Israel. This might be the dramatic end of the Netanyahu era. I am just covering the mechanisms and the major breaking news regarding religious Jewish Israelis. Free Substack

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Israeli Elections? - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's

Partly, Russian Telegram is quiet and repetitive. Partly, this is big news. We have been watching this take form over the last three months. This kind of drama will likely lead to elections and, hopefully, the end of the Bibi Netanyahu era. First, the news

10:54 PM - Mar 28, 2024

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French Prime Minister Gabriel Atal

Following the attack in Moscow, the President of the French Republic convened the National Defense and Security Council this evening.

07:28 PM - Mar 24, 2024

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The last 48 hours have revealed that it dies not matter who done it, Russia intends to use it to pursue its present war.

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Moscow 48 Hours On - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's

First, let me share this from Gulagu.net; it will clarify that what happened in Moscow has layers of evidence and intent. It also has vast levels of incompetence: Russian intelligence services knew about the threat of terrorist attacks from ISIS Russian intelligence services closely monitored the ac..

05:30 PM - Mar 24, 2024

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Late breaking news ISIS-K took responsibility. However, the doubts in Russia are with good reason.

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Attack in Moscow - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's

“There is no indication at this time that Ukraine, or Ukrainians, were involved in the shooting,” Kirby told reporters. “I would disabuse you at this early hour of any connection to Ukraine.” https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2024/03/22/us-says-no-sign-of-ukraine-role-in-terrible-moscow-attack-a84581

06:02 PM - Mar 22, 2024

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We are already in a Cold War. This speech points to me that NATO is aware it’s moving to war. I am posting the full speech without further comment. It’s that important.

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The Admiral's Speech in Kyiv - by Nadin Brzezinski

When nations and alliances start to move towards war, you can see that changing posture in public statements. Many of these are ignored by the Western press for whatever reason. However, it's my job not to ignore this as if it had never happened. And the following speech, posted as delivered, i..

05:19 PM - Mar 21, 2024

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Russia seems to be entering a deeper crisis. It’s not just the economy, but also the internal resistance.

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Russian Propaganda and DARVO - by Nadin Brzezinski

So, this piece dropped today. We have heard rumors, now denials, on MSNBC and other media. There was a planned exchange with Russia to remove Navalny. What does this tell us about Alexi Navalny's perceived threat to the Russian state? So, this piece today exemplifies the threat that Navalny sti..

06:54 PM - Mar 20, 2024

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We are ever so slowly moving towards significant events within Russia. We all watch the ice flow accelerate

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Belgorod: Can We Call It a Civil War? - by Nadin Brzezinski

Well, operations continue in the Kursk and Belgorod regions. Last year, the units retreated after a week. So, this year, it seems a tad more serious. So this emerged in the morning. The data indicates it’s a significant fight, and given the Russians claimed they crushed this in the first thirty-six ..

04:34 PM - Mar 19, 2024

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The awareness that war is coming to Europe is increasingly obvious. It is time we all realize that we will also be affected.

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06:59 PM - Mar 18, 2024

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The “elections” are over, and predictably Putin won. However, Putin has acknowledged the RDK

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Elections, Resistance, and False Flags

Ukraine is not involved in the attack on Transnistria, — Moldavian authorities “We inform you that the incident in question is an attempt to cause fear and panic in the region. The military equipment in the photo has not been working for several years.”

06:48 PM - Mar 17, 2024

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