My election forecast models do not rely on polls and are often within a point or two of the actual results. However, Democrats are currently surpassing the upper bounds of my most optimistic models. This suggests an unexpected trend is unfolding that even my models are missing.
11:30 AM - Feb 14, 2024
Few politicians are able to pull this off, and this is one of several reasons why I believe Rep. Jasmine Crockett could've defeated Ted Cruz.
08:31 AM - Jan 11, 2024
News media is not making a "mistake" in the way they're reporting on Trump. I see people saying they're making the same mistake they made in 2016.
It's not a mistake. It's intentional. It's greed and it's fascism.
It's not a mistake. It's intentional. It's greed and it's fascism.
04:21 PM - Sep 25, 2023
Don't worry,
I got ya.
Perfectly captured by Christophe Nay!
I got ya.
Perfectly captured by Christophe Nay!
01:51 AM - Sep 06, 2023
I think this is perhaps the best moment. Hillary Clinton calls out the bald-faced hatred FP45 and Republicans have for America.
msnbc.com
'It's rooting against America': Clinton on Trump bashing US women's soccer and American institutions
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton talks with Rachel Maddow about the seemingly incongruous contrast between Trump supporter flag-waving and Donald Trump's overt criticism of the United States from its international sports figures to its politicians and institutions, and the deeper messa..
08:01 AM - Aug 15, 2023
Wow! A veteran FBI agent told Congress that investigations into Giuliani and other Trump allies were suppressed.
07:21 AM - Aug 10, 2023
Remember the good ol days, when a woman's health and health decisions only involved her and her doctor? I love and support you all and will continue to be an ally however I can.
#InternationalWomensDay
#WomensDay
#InternationalWomensDay
#WomensDay
11:48 AM - Mar 08, 2023
When the Supreme Court gutted a key portion of the Voting Rights Act, Chief Justice Roberts promised “our country has changed.” From what we saw in Alabama last week, things have not changed nearly as much as he thought.https://www.democracydocket.com/opinion/alabama-shows-our-country-hasnt-changed/
07:43 AM - Jul 25, 2023
“They don’t care he’s a criminal…a convicted sexual abuser or rapist…if he’s never read the Bible or espouses violence. They don’t believe in govt to make lives better. They reject democracy & the principles of equality. They want power & they’ll pursue it by any means necessary to get it & keep it.
09:30 AM - Jul 20, 2023
The day before we celebrate our nation's independence, here is further proof that in courtrooms around the country, democracy is on the docket and democracy is winning. https://www.democracydocket.com/cases/florida-omnibus-voter-suppression-law-challenge/
10:01 PM - Jul 03, 2023
this morning, my missing airpods went out for a drive. Or perhaps they're heading home from a night out?
If they're doing a walk of shame i at least hope they used protection.
#AirpodsAbroad
If they're doing a walk of shame i at least hope they used protection.
#AirpodsAbroad
08:14 AM - Jun 07, 2023
Sheryl Lee Ralph is Jamaican American actress and singer. She earned acclaim for her role as Deena Jones in the Broadway musical Dreamgirls. In 2021 she received the Primetime Emmy Award for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy for her role in Abbott Elementary.
#CaribbeanAmericanHeritageMonth
#CaribbeanAmericanHeritageMonth
09:49 AM - Jun 03, 2023
In May, the United States economy added 339,000 jobs.
That's a total of 13 million jobs created since President Biden took office.
Under President Joe Biden, the U.S. has seen the strongest economic recovery from COVID in the world.
That's a total of 13 million jobs created since President Biden took office.
Under President Joe Biden, the U.S. has seen the strongest economic recovery from COVID in the world.
05:53 PM - Jun 02, 2023
My father-in-law was 19 when they shipped him off to Vietnam.
Agent Orange killed him 40 years later.. non-Hodgkin's lymphona.
He died the year my husband turned 19 - the same year we met.
This Memorial Day, don't forget those who came home just for war to find them later.
Agent Orange killed him 40 years later.. non-Hodgkin's lymphona.
He died the year my husband turned 19 - the same year we met.
This Memorial Day, don't forget those who came home just for war to find them later.
10:45 AM - May 29, 2023
Remember, the same people who say student loans shouldn’t be forgiven are the same ones who got all their PPP loans forgiven for fake businesses.
04:10 AM - May 26, 2023
Tina Turner, glorious and eternal. There will never be another like her. Extraordinary. #RIPTinaTurner
04:03 PM - May 24, 2023
Donald Trump promised to eliminate the national debt.
It was $23.1 trillion when he entered office.
It was $30.9 trillion when he left.
That's $7,800,000,000,000.
25% of the ENTIRE debt in the history of America was run up by Trump, with a GOP-led Congress in cahoots.
It was $23.1 trillion when he entered office.
It was $30.9 trillion when he left.
That's $7,800,000,000,000.
25% of the ENTIRE debt in the history of America was run up by Trump, with a GOP-led Congress in cahoots.
05:17 AM - May 23, 2023
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Maybe Americans who have no idea of the destruction a weapon of war can do to a child’s body do need to see the horror. I remember the photo of the child fleeing napalm in Vietnam war. I remember the Kent State victims. I remember the graves of starved and gassed Jews in the concentration camps.
01:16 PM - May 07, 2023
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
The real photos of the horrific inhumanity should be publicly displayed behind content warnings.
04:11 PM - May 07, 2023
I always hated that song by Randy Newman and thus, I always hated Randy Newman.
![]()
DragonEmbersArt @EhretDaryll07:59 AM - May 06, 2023![Video]()
Randy Newman - Short People (Official Video) - YouTube
Randy Newman - Short People (Official Video)From the album Little Criminals (1977)
09:11 AM - May 06, 2023
Doesn't matter how elaborate the ceremony or how much PR expertise they buy, they'll never be as loved and respected as Diana, and they know it.
10:49 AM - May 06, 2023
DOJ believes there are GAPS in the security tapes Trump handed over.
How do they know? Because they ALSO received the tapes from the security vendor.
If we read between the lines -- DOJ has caught Trump trying to doctor the security footage.
Obstruction of justice. Slam dunk.
How do they know? Because they ALSO received the tapes from the security vendor.
If we read between the lines -- DOJ has caught Trump trying to doctor the security footage.
Obstruction of justice. Slam dunk.
09:12 AM - May 06, 2023
📢I want to congratulate @Strandjunker , the winner of the Spoutible logo contest! 🎉
25,159 people voted, and @Strandjunker received 10,017 votes!
I would like to convey my sincere gratitude to all the participants who have submitted such exceptional and imaginative designs. You are all amazing!
25,159 people voted, and @Strandjunker received 10,017 votes!
I would like to convey my sincere gratitude to all the participants who have submitted such exceptional and imaginative designs. You are all amazing!
03:02 PM - May 05, 2023
2 Threaded Spouts
CNN is reporting that the WHO ended the declaration of COVID-19 as global health emergency today.
1,109 Americans died last week from Covid, plus however many Florida refused to report. We've already lost at least 43,000 people this year to COVID-19.
1,109 Americans died last week from Covid, plus however many Florida refused to report. We've already lost at least 43,000 people this year to COVID-19.
11:18 AM - May 05, 2023
