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#538 #GOP polling avgs 2/1-8/1 flat-out disprove #Trump claim, oft-echoed by #MSM , that indictments help his campaign. ~4% bump two weeks after (that's causal?) 1st indictment barely brought #TFG to the #MAGAt 51% fraction of #GOP . Indictments 2 & 3 didn't do shit for him.
The data's real story is
10:51 PM - Aug 08, 2023
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that, even if #Trump were to be carted off to prison tomorrow, there is little if any chance #Desantis cd come close to filling his krocs & neither cd any of the others currently occupying the #GOP primary field.
More worrisome, if #Trump is shutdown, like #GOP candidate will be someone
10:54 PM - Aug 08, 2023
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not currently in the race, w #Youngkin among the most likely, which would be a dangerous development for those of us still rather fond of #Democracy .
10:55 PM - Aug 08, 2023
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