Brian Nakamoto
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Dear #Iowa #Republican #caucus participants, #NikkiHaley has the best chance of beating #JoeBiden given she likely gets more votes from women & the never-again #Trump collation won't activate against #Haley . I guess #RonDesantis has the latter going for him too. Plus neither are on trial for crimes!
12:00 AM - Jan 15, 2024
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Jeff Russell
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In response to Brian Nakamoto.
Personally I don't think women are in the mood to vote in any Republican right now.
12:06 AM - Jan 15, 2024
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Brian Nakamoto
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Haley smokes Biden in the CBS/YouGov poll (and others) in part because more women say they'll vote for her. Haley & Trump have the best Republican positions on abortion for the general that I think will blunt any advantage for Biden on that topic. It'll really suck if Trump gets the Republican nom.
In response to Jeff Russell.
12:20 AM - Jan 15, 2024
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Jeff Russell
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In response to Brian Nakamoto.
Well I'll say this much. I'm 70yo and have voted in every state/local and Presidential election since I turned 18. Not once have I ever been polled.
12:25 AM - Jan 15, 2024 (Edited)
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Brian Nakamoto
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In response to Jeff Russell.
One shouldn't expect to be politically polled given sample sizes. Here's an overview of how political polling works – https://scienceexchange.ca... FiveThirtyEight.com's mean of Iowa caucus polling would need a 3-sigma error for Trump to lose.😓
01:22 AM - Jan 15, 2024
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