Turn Texas Blue To Turn America Blue
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My honest prediction for the 2024 election is that Biden wins every state that he won plus Texas and Alaska. Suburban and heavily nonwhite regions get bluer, and rural areas are stagnant or get even redder. The national vote is around D+7, on par with 2018. The House vote matches the POTUS vote.
04:55 PM - Feb 11, 2024
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Turn Texas Blue To Turn America Blue
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The Senate will be brutal for Democrats on the other hand. This is due to many states that are up for election including Montana being red states. Meanwhile the House will be friendly enough to give a sizable majority. North Carolina doesn't flip because it is too rural. Turnout is lower than 2020.
04:55 PM - Feb 11, 2024 (Edited)
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Turn Texas Blue To Turn America Blue
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Biden gets Texas because of the suburban and nonwhite demographics being huge in that state, with the majority of its population being nonwhite and/or suburban. Alaska is similar reasons, and also because of Independent voters, which will overwhelmingly vote Biden due to the charges against Trump.
04:57 PM - Feb 11, 2024
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