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Posted with permission from Moriarty Lab
Canadian COVID Forecast: Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
SEVERE: AB, BC, MB, NB, NL, NS, PEI, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, North, ON, QC
HIGH: none
ELEVATED: none
MODERATE: none
LOW: none
About 1 in 47 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Canadian COVID Forecast: Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
SEVERE: AB, BC, MB, NB, NL, NS, PEI, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, North, ON, QC
HIGH: none
ELEVATED: none
MODERATE: none
LOW: none
About 1 in 47 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
07:10 PM - Feb 18, 2024
(Edited)
2/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
CANADA
VERY HIGH (decreasing)
About 1 in every 47 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~9X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~5X higher
-Deaths ~13X higher
CANADA
VERY HIGH (decreasing)
About 1 in every 47 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~9X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~5X higher
-Deaths ~13X higher
07:10 PM - Feb 18, 2024
3/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 35 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~10X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~5X higher
-Deaths ~18X higher
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 35 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~10X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~5X higher
-Deaths ~18X higher
07:13 PM - Feb 18, 2024
4/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 28 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~12X higher
-Long COVID ~10X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~12X higher
PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 28 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~12X higher
-Long COVID ~10X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~12X higher
07:14 PM - Feb 18, 2024
5/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
NOVA SCOTIA
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 29 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~13X higher
-Long COVID ~10X higher
-Hospitalizations ~6X higher
-Deaths ~15X higher
NOVA SCOTIA
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 29 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~13X higher
-Long COVID ~10X higher
-Hospitalizations ~6X higher
-Deaths ~15X higher
07:14 PM - Feb 18, 2024
6/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
NEW BRUNSWICK
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 20 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~26X higher
-Long COVID ~15X higher
-Hospitalizations ~8X higher
-Deaths ~22X higher
NEW BRUNSWICK
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 20 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~26X higher
-Long COVID ~15X higher
-Hospitalizations ~8X higher
-Deaths ~22X higher
07:15 PM - Feb 18, 2024
7/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
QUÉBEC
VERY HIGH (decreasing)
About 1 in every 50 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~7X higher
-Long COVID ~7X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~11X higher
QUÉBEC
VERY HIGH (decreasing)
About 1 in every 50 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~7X higher
-Long COVID ~7X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~11X higher
07:15 PM - Feb 18, 2024
8/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
ONTARIO
VERY HIGH (decreasing)
About 1 in every 52 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~8X higher
-Long COVID ~7X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~12X higher
ONTARIO
VERY HIGH (decreasing)
About 1 in every 52 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~8X higher
-Long COVID ~7X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~12X higher
07:16 PM - Feb 18, 2024
9/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
MANITOBA
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 32 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~22X higher
-Long COVID ~12X higher
-Hospitalizations ~7X higher
-Deaths ~16X higher
MANITOBA
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 32 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~22X higher
-Long COVID ~12X higher
-Hospitalizations ~7X higher
-Deaths ~16X higher
07:16 PM - Feb 18, 2024
10/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
SASKATCHEWAN
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 35 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~13X higher
-Long COVID ~10X higher
-Hospitalizations ~6X higher
-Deaths ~16X higher
SASKATCHEWAN
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 35 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~13X higher
-Long COVID ~10X higher
-Hospitalizations ~6X higher
-Deaths ~16X higher
07:16 PM - Feb 18, 2024
11/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
ALBERTA
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 38 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~11X higher
-Long COVID ~9X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~14X higher
ALBERTA
SEVERE (decreasing)
About 1 in every 38 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~11X higher
-Long COVID ~9X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~14X higher
07:17 PM - Feb 18, 2024
12/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
BRITISH COLUMBIA
SEVERE (no change)
About 1 in every 49 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~11X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~6X higher
-Deaths ~16X higher
BRITISH COLUMBIA
SEVERE (no change)
About 1 in every 49 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~11X higher
-Long COVID ~8X higher
-Hospitalizations ~6X higher
-Deaths ~16X higher
07:17 PM - Feb 18, 2024
13/14
Canadian COVID Forecast Feb 17-Mar 2, 2024
NUNAVUT, NWT, YUKON
VERY HIGH (decreasing)
About 1 in every 33 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~14X higher
-Long COVID ~10X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~9X higher
NUNAVUT, NWT, YUKON
VERY HIGH (decreasing)
About 1 in every 33 people infected
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections ~14X higher
-Long COVID ~10X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~9X higher
07:18 PM - Feb 18, 2024
14/14
Remember, the forecast reflects not only recent input data, but also numbers expected for the next 2 weeks, based on 5-week average trends.
The next forecast will be March 3, 2024.
The next forecast will be March 3, 2024.
07:19 PM - Feb 18, 2024
In response to CovidUpdates.
Thanks for sharing Moriarty Labs forecasts. This is one of the most comprehensive collections of COVID data that I missed from Twitter. Dr. Tara Moriarty has been a stalwart source of quality data since 2020.
07:28 PM - Feb 18, 2024
In response to Deb Prothero.
Tara has provided Canadians with a wealth of information.
She was gracious when I approached her and asked if I could share it here.
Please let me know if there are any other Covid information accounts you’d like to see here.
She was gracious when I approached her and asked if I could share it here.
Please let me know if there are any other Covid information accounts you’d like to see here.
08:04 PM - Feb 18, 2024
