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Posted with permission from Moriarty Lab

Canadian COVID Forecast: Mar 16-29, 2024

SEVERE: SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NL
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, NB, North, NS, ON, QC, PEI
ELEVATED: none
MODERATE: none
LOW: none

About 1 in 47 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
#Covid #LongCovid #CovidUpdates
04:24 PM - Mar 17, 2024 (Edited)
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Canadian COVID Forecast Mar 16-29, 2024

CANADA

HIGH (no change)

About 1 in every 47 people infected

Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:

-Infections ~15X higher
-Long COVID ~11X higher
-Hospitalizations ~4X higher
-Deaths ~7X higher
04:27 PM - Mar 17, 2024
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WHAT'S NEW THIS WEEK?

The Forecast score is the lowest it's been since the start of Omicron. About 1 in 47 people in Canada is currently infected. Forecast scores are dropping 7%/week for Canada (-15 to +3%/week for all regions).
04:30 PM - Mar 17, 2024
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Infections are starting to increase again in some regions (+3%/week for Canada; -3 to +10%/week for all regions).

Estimated reported and expected healthcare system impacts (people in hospital, daily life activity-limiting long COVID) are declining 25%/week for Canada.
04:36 PM - Mar 17, 2024
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Reported and expected deaths are decreasing 2%/week for Canada.
04:37 PM - Mar 17, 2024
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As of March 15th, 7 ON public health units are each reporting a COVID-19 hospital outbreak. Even 7 outbreaks are unacceptable 4 years into the pandemic.

There should be none.

We know how to prevent these outbreaks.
#KeepMasksInHealthcare
04:39 PM - Mar 17, 2024
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safecareON’s latest email campaign will focus on hospitals in Simcoe-Muskoka.

Wastewater is climbing in this region and an area hospital recently had a confirmed #Measles case in the ER.

The same precautions that prevent COVID-19, also stop #Measles in its tracks.
#MaskUp
04:40 PM - Mar 17, 2024
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Remember, the forecast reflects not only recent input data, but also numbers expected for the next 2 weeks, based on 5-week average trends.

The next forecast will be March 31, 2024.
04:41 PM - Mar 17, 2024
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