Van Lingle Mungo
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thread 1/4
Netanyahu benefits from the attack, at least in the short term. The US was rumored to be about to limit or halt arms shipments to Israel. Obviously, that can't happen right now. Iran has announced that tonight's 3-step attack (drones / cruise missiles / ballistic missiles) is a one-time response to
08:58 PM - Apr 13, 2024
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Van Lingle Mungo
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thread 2/4
the IDF attack on the Iranian consulate in Damascus, so if the Israeli air defenses hold up for another 8 hrs or so, Netanyahu will have a useful distraction from what he's been doing in Gaza & not much more. It might also slow the internal effort to oust Netanyahu for a while. The Iranian attack
08:58 PM - Apr 13, 2024
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Van Lingle Mungo
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thread 3/4
also has some value to Putin, b/c it makes Biden's position that much more difficult & therefore increases the likelihood that Putin's puppet will win the November election. Iran. & Russia are allies, & it seems reasonable to conclude that Putin was consulted or at least informed about what's
08:58 PM - Apr 13, 2024
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Van Lingle Mungo
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thread 4/4
going on right now.

Of course, we don't know whether the Iranians will keep their word, or whether the Israelis will respond to tonight's attack with an attack of their own. There are a lot of moving parts here & more than one way that this could all get worse by sunrise.
08:58 PM - Apr 13, 2024
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