A work in progress
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I’m still in the camp of ignore all polls.
But
As we get closer to Election Day more voters will start to focus on their choices.
tfg looks to be bleeding support but it’s a fight to get out the vote💙
Professor Kyle @blackcatprose
Per Simon Rosenberg: Biden has a significant lead in 2nd quality poll this week among *likely* voters. I know polls are dubious at best, but this is meaningful – those invested are more likely to vote Biden, & support is consolidating around him as voters wake up to the reality that he & TFG are it.
12:15 PM - May 05, 2024
12:22 PM - May 05, 2024
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Salma Typhii
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In response to A work in progress.
My gut is telling me the prediction markets are going to outperform polling in 2024 because what they say for AZ feels like the sentiment I am getting doing GOTV stuff in AZ more than the polls
https://www.predictit.org/...
12:26 PM - May 05, 2024
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A work in progress
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In response to Salma Typhii.
Interesting
I didn’t even know of those 🤔
12:44 PM - May 05, 2024
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