Salma Typhii
A
Just from talking to folks during GOTV stuff here in AZ, my gut tells me prediction markets are outperforming polls in 2024
https://www.predictit.org/markets/3/Presidency
Professor Kyle @blackcatprose
Per Simon Rosenberg: Biden has a significant lead in 2nd quality poll this week among *likely* voters. I know polls are dubious at best, but this is meaningful – those invested are more likely to vote Biden, & support is consolidating around him as voters wake up to the reality that he & TFG are it.
12:15 PM - May 05, 2024
12:28 PM - May 05, 2024
Avatar Avatar Avatar
0
1
7
Professor Kyle
A
In response to Salma Typhii.
Yup. And I could see this being the margin (let's make it so and enact Simon Rosenberg's "Get to 55% challenge!)
12:32 PM - May 05, 2024
0
2

 

{{ notificationModalContent }} {{ promptModalMessage }}