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On Information Warfare - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's
Today, Hamas dropped two pieces of propaganda that are textbooks of the principle of information warfare and why we don’t know how to fight it. By the way, Russians do the same all the freaking time. So, I am using these from Hamas to illustrate a principle of information warfare that you need to un..
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Russians are Always Victims, Plus Some on the Inauguration of Vladimir Putin
So this morning, I went down to the Kommersant TG channel. Think of it as the main economics paper in the Federation. They are the equivalent of Barrons, so this was curious. And it is oh so Russian. So here is the post, which refers to the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty. It’s a mout..
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Further Escalations: Medvedev - by Nadin Brzezinski
There is a lot of noise about removing or putting back red lines. The reaction from Dmitry Medvedev tells us a lot about where we are. After all, the British agree to Ukraine using their weapons as Ukraine needs to. In other words, unlike us, they have removed the red lines.
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Further Withdrawals and Russian Corruption, and the Coming War
The first thing that caught my attention recently is this. The Russian Navy is trying to save some assets still caught in the Black Sea. This signals fighter weakness on the part of an increasingly irrelevant navy. I will remind you that control of the Black Sea has been a Russian objective since Ka..
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Campus Protest and Current American Politics
There should be no place on any campus, no place in America, for anti-Semitism, or threats of violence against Jewish students. There is no place for hate speech or violence of any kind, whether it’s anti-Semitism, Islamophobia, or discrimination against Arab Americans or Palestinian Americans. It’s..
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Tucker Carlson and Alexandr Dugin - by Nadin Brzezinski
So, Tucker Carlson went back to Moscow to interview Alexandr Dugin. It’s a nice look into a sanitized view of the man some have said is close to Vladimir Putin. I realize that Steve Bannon is a fan as well. Why should we be alarmed? And yes, it’s free speech, so by all means. Maybe Tucker should con..
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Why People Serve in the Army and the Vertical of Power
This has been asked by readers from time to time. Why is is that Russians are still signing up to serve a volunteer soldiers? This is especially the case in poorer rural regions. This is more money than many people can make back home, assuming they can get a job.
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The Aid is Flowing Again… - by Nadin Brzezinski
“I’m making sure the shipments start right away. In the next few hours — literally in a few hours — we are going to begin sending equipment to Ukraine for air defense munitions, artillery for rocket systems, and armored vehicles.” Joe Biden It’s been a long six months. I am sure it took far longer f..
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The Aid Package Passes the House - by Nadin Brzezinski
Saturday, the aid package to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan passed the house. This is a critical point in the war. Ukraine needs this aid to stabilize the line. They were already husbanding ammunition, in particular 155 mm artillery shells. Now it is up to the Senate to do this, and they are expected t..
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Middle East Deescalation Ladder - by Nadin Brzezinski
As you all know, Israel did attack deep inside Iran last night. What they used is still in question. If there is one thing that makes the life of Open Source hard, it is that Israel is not telling, and Iran is denying all damage. Watching Russia, another closed society, tells me there was some damag..
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Victimhood, Excuses and Hate - by Nadin Brzezinski
We all have been watching Russia for two-plus years blame everybody for their failures. Yes, it’s always the pesky Anglo-Saxons that, like Scooby-Doo and the gang, stop them. The glorious Russian empire, forgive me, the Russian World, will soon overcome these meddling children.
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Escalation Ladder - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's
Last night, Israel and her allies intercepted 99 percent of all hardware launched at Israel. The damage in Israel was relatively minor. It includes one ten-year-old killed, another young one in intensive care, and six more who were moderate to light injuries. All were Bedouins in the south. So ironi..
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Hybrid Warfare and Open Societies - by Nadin Brzezinski
There is something to be said about high-level information warfare. We are not good at it. And boy, the Israelis make us look nearly competent. Given the neighborhood, I am shocked at how bad they are. Why are we so bad at it? I suspect it is the Paradox of tolerance
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Oil, the US, Geopolitics - by Nadin Brzezinski
There are days when geopolitics intersects with our elections and somewhat lousy policy. Yes, bombing Russian oil infrastructure could be a problem. Yes, it could raise the fuel price for the average American consumer. Never mind that if we get into a major war, the cost of gas will be the last of o..
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Consequences... - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's
Consequences of the flooding at Orsk are emerging. This one has large military implications. It implies a significant hole in the early warning system of the Russian Federation. With no further, here you go: Due to flooding in Orsk , the Voronezh M radar has stopped operating, there is a threat of f..
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How to Spot Disinformation: A Practical Example
So last night, the following post appeared on Israeli Telegram, which quoted a Syrian channel. They took the bait because they seemed unable to catch it. This is good disinformation and an excellent piece to explain how this works. The only difference may be the language because Russians do the same..
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Let's Talk Kharkiv - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's
Let me start this piece with the words of a resident of Kharkiv. It honestly sounds like a wartime diary (it is), like what we saw during the Second World War. I am introducing you to the words of a real person trapped in the impossible condition of war. Why is she posting this? I will cover this in..
Rising Tensions in the Middle East - by Nadin Brzezinski
After Israel hit a building in Damascus, killing senior members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, Iran has threatened revenge. I will add this piece of spice. The building was not covered under diplomatic immunity. At least according to a local Syrian channel:
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Russian Designs and Ukrainian Capabilities
GoebbelsTV announced the goal of the “SVO” — the destruction of Ukraine and nothing more . Got it? Spirituality, culture, history — these are all fairy tales. Modern Russia has one thing in common — the desire to destroy the normal world. This quote above is short. It has a video of Soloviev life at..
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Tightening of Screws and a Coming War - by Nadin Brzezinski
So, this came across over the weekend. Given Russian history, it’s pretty likely. In the 1920s, the NKVD did this. It was a terror. this led to a lot of show trials. Between 1936 and 1938, arguably, the cream of the Russian officer corp ended up dead or in the gulag.
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Crocus City Hall and Trump - by Nadin Brzezinski
So, while reading Telegram today, I saw that this stood up. It was one of those screaming, an onion with multiple layers. And I will be candid: this did not surprise me. Russia is counting on Donald Trump's return to the White House. Why Crocus City Hall? One of Gulagu.net’s sources told us tha..
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Israeli Elections? - by Nadin Brzezinski - Rumination's
Partly, Russian Telegram is quiet and repetitive. Partly, this is big news. We have been watching this take form over the last three months. This kind of drama will likely lead to elections and, hopefully, the end of the Bibi Netanyahu era. First, the news
Following the attack in Moscow, the President of the French Republic convened the National Defense and Security Council this evening.