Christopher Bouzy
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thread 1/7
This is a quick thread on why you should ignore polls a year before an election. Polls are snapshots in time, and with politics, a year might as well be a century. But even if we ignore the fact the election is a year away, the current polls are simply not reliable. So let's break it down.
01:28 PM - Nov 05, 2023
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 2/7
In 2016, Trump barely won Michigan with 10,704 votes. In 2020, Biden won Michigan with 154,188 votes.

After Jan 6th and four indictments, certain individuals want you to believe Trump is leading Biden in a Democratic-led state he barely won in 2016 and lost in 2020. Trump isn't +5 in Michigan.
01:28 PM - Nov 05, 2023
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 3/7
In 2016, Trump won Pennsylvania with 44,292 votes. In 2020, Biden won Pennsylvania with 81,660 votes.

Like Michigan, Trump barely won in 2016 and lost in 2020, and that was before Jan 6th, the indictments, and the Supreme Court overturning Roe v Wade.
01:28 PM - Nov 05, 2023
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 4/7
In March, Trump's Georgia trial will begin, and it will be televised. Americans will hear what he did from his close advisors and lawyers. Whether he is convicted or not by Election Day will not matter; the reality then versus now will be significantly different.
01:28 PM - Nov 05, 2023
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 5/7
Yes, there is a chance Trump can escape justice and go unscathed before Election Day. There is also a chance people can stay home and not vote for Biden because of his foreign policy. I recently warned about this scenario. However, I would still rather be Biden than Trump on Election Day.
01:28 PM - Nov 05, 2023
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 6/7
The point of this thread is simple. Do not let polls discourage you, nor do not let polls make you panic. Pundits are using these early polls to "prove" Democrats need to replace Biden before it's too late, but these polls prove nothing. Let's ask some basic fundamental questions.
01:28 PM - Nov 05, 2023
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 7/7
Did Trump gain significant inroads with Black voters?

Did Trump improve his numbers with Independents?

Did Trump improve his support among young voters?

Is Trump doing better with women since Roe v. Wade was overturned?

The answer is no to all of these questions.
01:33 PM - Nov 05, 2023
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Jane Stutsman
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In response to Christopher Bouzy.
All of these trials should be televised. Trump and republicans will do everything they can to delay the Georgia trial - they know how bad it will be for them in 2024 elections. Not just trump but all the congressmen that voted to steal the election
03:05 PM - Nov 06, 2023
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