Christopher Bouzy
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thread 1/5
Recent polls and "expert" opinions have been bleak about Biden's chances for reelection. However, recent elections and other critical data suggest a challenging scenario for the Republicans. In short, the Republicans have reasons to panic.
02:56 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 2/5
In the recent Iowa Republican presidential caucuses, only 110,298 votes were cast, compared to 186,932 in 2016. This significant drop of 76,634 votes might suggest reduced enthusiasm despite some attributing it to weather conditions.
02:56 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 3/5
Adding to Republican concerns, nearly half of Nikki Haley's Iowa backers are reportedly ready to choose Biden over Trump. This trend, if mirrored in other states, could spell trouble for the GOP, whether through a shift in allegiance or reduced voter turnout.
02:56 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 4/5
In Florida, Democrats overturned a previously Republican-dominated seat, with Tom Keen securing approximately 70 percent of independent votes. This demographic is vital for Democrats in November. A repeat of this trend in other states could pose a serious threat to Republican prospects.
02:56 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 5/5
Lastly, Biden and the Democrats raised $100 million at the end of 2023. The narrative that Democrats are in trouble is just simply false based on the data and the facts on the ground. If turnout is also low in New Hampshire, then it could be an early indicator that Republican enthusiasm is low.
02:56 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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Raja Dasgupta
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In response to Christopher Bouzy.
I really hope this point in particular is true - gives me some hope. Is the source for this polling credible? Fingers crossed...
10:39 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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