Christopher Bouzy
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My election forecast models do not rely on polls and are often within a point or two of the actual results. However, Democrats are currently surpassing the upper bounds of my most optimistic models. This suggests an unexpected trend is unfolding that even my models are missing.
11:30 AM - Feb 14, 2024
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Jay D
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Trump is effective at getting low propensity voters out who don’t usually vote in special elections. Is this something to be concerned about in November?
11:38 AM - Feb 14, 2024
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Ground Control
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No...because those low propensity voters tend to be on our side these days. MAGA is too convinced we're rigging elections.
In response to Jay D.
11:42 AM - Feb 14, 2024
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