Christopher Bouzy
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Nate Silver continues to cite polls while ignoring what is happening on the ground. Nate wants you to believe Democratic voters who are donating and voting en masse in special elections will somehow sit out 2024 or just vote for every Democrat on the ballot except for Biden.
08:02 PM - Mar 04, 2024
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David Kaplan
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In response to Christopher Bouzy.
What a lot of people who follow 538 don't realize is Nate is just a statistician who came up with an entertaining way of looking at elections by using polling data to project probabilities of election outcomes. It was fresh and interesting 10 years ago but he's never actually predicted anything.
12:12 AM - Mar 05, 2024
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David Kaplan
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So what's happened in recent years with the skewing of polling data is his modeling has become pretty useless to project anything. And because he's not a political scientist often his missives about what is happening in the field are not carefully thought out.
In response to David Kaplan.
12:16 AM - Mar 05, 2024
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