Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Since I'm not able to make it into your Pod - Siena College is (under all pollsters) [apparently] one of the better ones.

I do believe that those polls are just junk. But does that mean that polls are junk in general - or are there some exceptions, maybe in other countries, with a smaller MOE?
01:41 PM - May 13, 2024
0
2
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Lol, this newspaper site geoblocks me. Can't read. Wtf 😑
01:24 AM - May 01, 2024
0
2
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Flipping Texas would be a real pain in the ass for them. Also the Senate seat...
03:07 PM - Apr 28, 2024
1
3
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Phred.
How to add some flames to the House GOP 😂👌
02:30 AM - Apr 21, 2024
0
6
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Magical Mystery Tour (MrG / NAFO).
I just knew schnitzel (of course) and kindergarten 😁
02:24 AM - Apr 21, 2024
1
0
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
I learn new things here every day.

Schadenfreude (🇦🇹/🇩🇪) is an english word too? 😂🫶
04:32 PM - Apr 20, 2024
2
2
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
#RedWaveDave 's wishes poured into an article.
04:02 AM - Apr 05, 2024
0
0
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
good.

Next: Texas.
02:01 PM - Apr 02, 2024
0
0
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Wineaux.
You can (at least on a desktop computer, maybe even in the app) extract the video link at 6:20. Just right-click the timeline below 😊
02:05 AM - Mar 30, 2024
1
1
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
I'm (more) optimistic about Texas, since abortion is an issue there.

Either both flip, or none I think. Let's hope for both 😁
05:16 AM - Mar 21, 2024
0
0
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
This might be a path to a 60-40 Senate majority.

Lindsay Graham could have been right in 2016.
04:53 PM - Mar 13, 2024
0
0
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
✔️ :)
04:11 PM - Mar 12, 2024
0
0
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
DT loves to expose other Republicans as RINOs when they behave in a way he doesn't like.

But, considering what core calues the GOP has (or has had?) ... the actual only RINO is DT himself.
09:15 AM - Mar 12, 2024
1
6
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
and some fools are calling him Sleepy Joe... 😂

Nope. Definitely not.
SCOTUS got roasted.
08:37 AM - Mar 08, 2024
0
16
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Since this happened at mid-night my time, i was guessing who wore this hat, assuming MTG.

Opened comments - confirmed.

What a clown.
12:48 AM - Mar 08, 2024
0
0
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Since Hayley dropped out, will the primaries, which are up next, still provide you the data you need for your predictions? Or is it harder now?
12:48 PM - Mar 07, 2024
0
3
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Deborah Conway.
Hopefully 🤗
01:21 PM - Mar 05, 2024
0
1
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Damn.... This is 2 am my time 🥲
12:51 PM - Mar 05, 2024
2
0
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
he failed at predicting 2016.
he failed at Senate 2020 (51 Rep).
he failed at House 2020 (avg. 239 Dem, was 222)
he failed at Senate 2022 (51 Rep).

Predicting just on polls won't result in a reliable outcome. He's the best example.
01:55 AM - Mar 05, 2024
2
17
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Possibly Texas. This would be massive - and may even affect the Senate election. Hopefully.
02:30 PM - Feb 28, 2024
0
6
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
I really like such announcements 😁
06:16 AM - Feb 28, 2024
0
4
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
would be interesting how someone is qualified to get a verification, who decides this and how to start a verification process 👀
02:03 AM - Feb 27, 2024
0
1
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
This would be incredible. 2016, Trump was GOP's phoenix; 2024 and the years after he could be their grave-digger.

Would be awesome to see 60 Senate seats in blue in the future since lawmaking with GOP senators is nothing but a farce
11:54 AM - Feb 22, 2024
0
5
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
just finished your election podcast:

https://spoutible.com/thre...

It's really fascination to follow polls on the one hand and your (almost always) correct predictions on the other.
12:18 PM - Feb 19, 2024
0
6
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Hi! I'm curious if you plan to upload your election pod too - since it started at 1am in central Europe (happy to see Jasmine's pod being uploaded soon!)
02:37 AM - Feb 16, 2024
0
0
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Matthew Clayton.
this reminds me of CO-3 from last midterms, where Adam Frisch shocked everyone having the closest and the most unforeseen result of the year.

yeah - but why not?
01:56 PM - Feb 14, 2024
0
1
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
i'm a huge fan of your forecast model ☺️
10:43 AM - Feb 13, 2024
0
4
Lukas Mueller
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
would be interesting how much this affects the election in general - not everyone is on Twitter, but we know, many Elon & MAGA fans are.
06:40 AM - Feb 04, 2024
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