Christopher Bouzy
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thread 1/3
Ignore the polls, the pundits, and the media noise because Trump and the GOP are in trouble. With each passing state primary, we gain valuable data, and Trump has a serious problem among a significant segment of Republican voters. What we are witnessing is the complete opposite of the polls.
10:18 AM - Feb 28, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 2/3
If even a mere 10% of Republican voters don't vote or choose Biden, it would spell disaster for the GOP. States like North Carolina and Florida would flip blue, possibly even Texas. This is exacerbated by Trump and the GOP facing substantial challenges in winning over Independent voters.
10:18 AM - Feb 28, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 3/3
Without robust support from both Republicans and Independents, Trump's chances of victory diminish significantly. Fact: Trump is underperforming polls, while Democrats are overperforming polls.

The polls are wrong, and the data proves it. Trump and the GOP are in trouble.
10:18 AM - Feb 28, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Is A Paranormal Possum
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No. There are honest polls, and if you only followed those, they have been close to the mark all along. And this season Trump has bought a SERIES of polls to prop up his ego. Those polls have also run INCREASINGLY wrong, to push the AVERAGES off. That is why polling systematically over-rates Trump
10:51 AM - Feb 28, 2024
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Michael Marchant
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In response to Tomi T Ahonen Is A Paranormal Possum.
What about the times/siena polls?
10:42 AM - Mar 02, 2024
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Magical Mystery Tour (MrG / NAFO)
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In response to Tomi T Ahonen Is A Paranormal Possum.
There is no incompatibility between these two POVs.
11:10 AM - Feb 28, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Is A Paranormal Possum
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In response to Magical Mystery Tour (MrG / NAFO).
LOL there is no contradiction whatsoever with those two points of view. You are correct. Of course I predicted this total scenario back in 2021 when most said Trump won't be running and Death Santis would be the nominee hahahahahaha. So yeah. In fact everybody in DC knows Trump is toast
11:42 AM - Feb 28, 2024
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Tomi T Ahonen Is A Paranormal Possum
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In response to Magical Mystery Tour (MrG / NAFO).
The media desperately need the horse race fiction, so they will push any bizarre outlier poll that promotes the narrative of a 'close race'. And they happily push any fake polling put out by Trump which promotes that same narrative. While ignoring those polls which show Biden comfortably ahead
11:43 AM - Feb 28, 2024
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