Christopher Bouzy
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thread 1/3
Ignore the polls, the pundits, and the media noise because Trump and the GOP are in trouble. With each passing state primary, we gain valuable data, and Trump has a serious problem among a significant segment of Republican voters. What we are witnessing is the complete opposite of the polls.
10:18 AM - Feb 28, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 2/3
If even a mere 10% of Republican voters don't vote or choose Biden, it would spell disaster for the GOP. States like North Carolina and Florida would flip blue, possibly even Texas. This is exacerbated by Trump and the GOP facing substantial challenges in winning over Independent voters.
10:18 AM - Feb 28, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
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thread 3/3
Without robust support from both Republicans and Independents, Trump's chances of victory diminish significantly. Fact: Trump is underperforming polls, while Democrats are overperforming polls.

The polls are wrong, and the data proves it. Trump and the GOP are in trouble.
10:18 AM - Feb 28, 2024
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Whoa!
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Do you have any concerns regarding the number (not percent) of votes TFG took over the number Biden took in Michigan?
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
12:47 PM - Feb 28, 2024
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Evolve Undefined
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In response to Whoa!.
I really trust Rosenberg and he had some helpful things to say about it https://www.hopiumchronicl...
04:10 PM - Feb 28, 2024
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Whoa!
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In response to Evolve Undefined.
Thanks for sharing. I'll take a look at that in a bit.
05:26 PM - Feb 28, 2024
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dmark
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In response to Whoa!.
There actually was a horse race on the Thug side.
01:39 PM - Feb 28, 2024
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Whoa!
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In response to dmark.
Obviously. That wasn't my question. Biden obviously did well with respect to Dem spoiler candidates and even the non-committed vote, but I was looking at the number of votes for Biden (approx. 650,000) and the number for TFG (approx. 750,000).
02:10 PM - Feb 28, 2024
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Colleen Redding ☮️
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In response to Whoa!.
Wondering the same thing - looks like a bit stronger R turnout at primary-
12:50 PM - Feb 28, 2024
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PS Annie
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In response to Colleen Redding ☮️.
I wouldn't worry about that at all. The GOP primary was actually a competition, so the turnout was larger. This is interview with Simon Rosenberg is worth watching:
https://www.msnbc.com/the-...
02:00 PM - Feb 28, 2024
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