In response to Nefarious Newt.
That was Roberts's plan all along. Remember he clerked under Renquist who was against equal rights for all people. He is just finishing his mentor's job
07:18 AM - Mar 05, 2024
When the intent of an election poll changed to “generate profit for shareholders” from “generate electorate information”, you’ve lost your controlled variable.
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David Kaplan @maxtoby2So what's happened in recent years with the skewing of polling data is his modeling has become pretty useless to project anything. And because he's not a political scientist often his missives about what is happening in the field are not carefully thought out.12:16 AM - Mar 05, 2024
07:21 AM - Mar 05, 2024
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
How does Nate Silver still have a job? If my record of performance was like his at review time, you'd best believe my employer would put me on the chopping block.
08:30 PM - Mar 04, 2024
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Odd. I thought this guy used to have a good reputation/track record. Perhaps I’m thinking about someone else
08:49 PM - Mar 04, 2024
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Mark Twain famously popularized the saying, “There are 3 kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.
10:10 PM - Mar 04, 2024
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
A new measurement tool is required.
Polls are manipulated either by the question or the selected participants. Polls now serve to convey a specific pre-determined message. Pre-determined by whoever pays.
They were useful until monied interests saw they're a cheap tool to manipulate the masses.
Polls are manipulated either by the question or the selected participants. Polls now serve to convey a specific pre-determined message. Pre-determined by whoever pays.
They were useful until monied interests saw they're a cheap tool to manipulate the masses.
10:50 PM - Mar 04, 2024
In response to David Kaplan.
So what's happened in recent years with the skewing of polling data is his modeling has become pretty useless to project anything. And because he's not a political scientist often his missives about what is happening in the field are not carefully thought out.
12:16 AM - Mar 05, 2024
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
What a lot of people who follow 538 don't realize is Nate is just a statistician who came up with an entertaining way of looking at elections by using polling data to project probabilities of election outcomes. It was fresh and interesting 10 years ago but he's never actually predicted anything.
12:12 AM - Mar 05, 2024
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
he failed at predicting 2016.
he failed at Senate 2020 (51 Rep).
he failed at House 2020 (avg. 239 Dem, was 222)
he failed at Senate 2022 (51 Rep).
Predicting just on polls won't result in a reliable outcome. He's the best example.
he failed at Senate 2020 (51 Rep).
he failed at House 2020 (avg. 239 Dem, was 222)
he failed at Senate 2022 (51 Rep).
Predicting just on polls won't result in a reliable outcome. He's the best example.
01:55 AM - Mar 05, 2024
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Who answers these polls? Does anyone answer the phone every time it rings with a call from a number they don’t recognize? I sure don’t.
02:07 AM - Mar 05, 2024
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
As others here have said, calls are made to landlines - there are fewer landlines than ever before (perhaps more in rural areas), and many people won't answer a cell if they don't recognize a number.
07:21 AM - Mar 05, 2024
Will Jack Smith and the Department of Justice do battle against Ginni Thomas and a group of people openly working to manipulate our system to the benefit of Trump and his fascist cronies?
07:23 AM - Mar 05, 2024
Florida is swamped by disease outbreaks as quackery replaces science
07:23 AM - Mar 05, 2024
Though this happened a month ago...this is how to stop the religious zealotry and corruption to siphon money from public schools. The Woman who gave the testimony did so masterfully, and made it clear within 20-seconds that it's all or none.
A proposed Satanic school helped derail a vote to repeal Idaho's Blaine Amendment (Livestream) - YouTube
An attempt by Idaho Republicans to repeal the state’s Blaine Amendment—a move that would allow taxpayer money to flow to churches and faith-based ministries ...
06:23 AM - Mar 05, 2024
Supreme Court temporarily freezes implementation of Texas immigration law.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/0...
https://www.cnn.com/2024/0...
cnn.com
05:16 AM - Mar 05, 2024
A group of former Twitter executives sued Elon Musk on Monday in a bid to recover more than $128 million in severance that they allege Musk has not paid since he acquired the company...
.https://www.cnn.com/2024/0...
.https://www.cnn.com/2024/0...
cnn.com
05:18 AM - Mar 05, 2024
Anyone else getting blinded by the bot check screen?
Wonder if it has a night mode version.
Wonder if it has a night mode version.
05:20 AM - Mar 05, 2024
In response to Myra Faye Turner.
I used to be an M365 Administrator. Microsoft was the only abusive relationship I ever had.
05:21 AM - Mar 05, 2024
Trump really seems to think he's running against Obama
05:24 AM - Mar 05, 2024
Florida Ban on ‘Woke’ Company Training Struck Down
05:07 AM - Mar 05, 2024
Trump was NOT *deprived* of a jury.
He and his anti-dream team of lawyers either failed to check off the box for a jury — or purposely chose not to.
Either way, they did this to themselves.
He and his anti-dream team of lawyers either failed to check off the box for a jury — or purposely chose not to.
Either way, they did this to themselves.
05:44 PM - Jan 11, 2024
hey, I wrote a thing: "Hunter Biden is just fucking with House Republicans now, and it’s a glorious sight to behold" — thanks for reading, and please sign up for my daily newsletter to keep getting the good stuff —
11:30 AM - Jan 11, 2024
The jibber-jabber of Superintendent Dillon cuts nothing with me. And by the way, Fuck Censorship. https://www.nepm.org/regio...
nepm.org
02:12 AM - Jan 10, 2024
The way people completely ignore nuance, history, and especially the history of Black communities in this country.
You, a white man, placing your preference over the significance of Biden speaking to that community in that church is flat-out racist:
You, a white man, placing your preference over the significance of Biden speaking to that community in that church is flat-out racist:
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Phil Thoughts @PhilsRandomThoughtsI'm listening to their points which have nothing to do with whether or not politicians should be giving campaign speeches at churches. If you don't think it would be appropriate for any other candidate, it's not appropriate for President Biden, either.10:45 PM - Jan 09, 2024
11:13 PM - Jan 09, 2024
This spout was removed because the account associated with it was suspended.
12:50 PM - May 08, 2023
Only followers of this user (Canyonsfan) can see their posts
11:39 PM - Jan 09, 2024
