Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 1/3
Ignore the polls, the pundits, and the media noise because Trump and the GOP are in trouble. With each passing state primary, we gain valuable data, and Trump has a serious problem among a significant segment of Republican voters. What we are witnessing is the complete opposite of the polls.
10:18 AM - Feb 28, 2024
Avatar Avatar Avatar
0
51
319
Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 2/3
If even a mere 10% of Republican voters don't vote or choose Biden, it would spell disaster for the GOP. States like North Carolina and Florida would flip blue, possibly even Texas. This is exacerbated by Trump and the GOP facing substantial challenges in winning over Independent voters.
10:18 AM - Feb 28, 2024
5
159
Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 3/3
Without robust support from both Republicans and Independents, Trump's chances of victory diminish significantly. Fact: Trump is underperforming polls, while Democrats are overperforming polls.

The polls are wrong, and the data proves it. Trump and the GOP are in trouble.
10:18 AM - Feb 28, 2024
7
216
Magical Mystery Tour (MrG / NAFO)
A
I suspect that the polls are, in part, skewed for two reasons:

-- A lot of people who voted for Trump have realized they bombed out bigtime, but are pretending they didn't.

-- A lot of people on the other side of the fence have misgivings about voting for Joe + Kamala, but will anyway.
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
10:47 AM - Feb 28, 2024
1
4
Tomi T Ahonen Is A Paranormal Possum
A
In response to Magical Mystery Tour (MrG / NAFO).
No. There are honest polls, and if you only followed those, they have been close to the mark all along. And this season Trump has bought a SERIES of polls to prop up his ego. Those polls have also run INCREASINGLY wrong, to push the AVERAGES off. That is why polling systematically over-rates Trump
10:51 AM - Feb 28, 2024
2
6
Magical Mystery Tour (MrG / NAFO)
A
In response to Tomi T Ahonen Is A Paranormal Possum.
There is no incompatibility between these two POVs.
11:10 AM - Feb 28, 2024
2
0
Michael Marchant
A
In response to Tomi T Ahonen Is A Paranormal Possum.
What about the times/siena polls?
10:42 AM - Mar 02, 2024
0
0

 

{{ notificationModalContent }} {{ promptModalMessage }}