Geannie Bastian
A
In response to Robin Zimmermann.
Swing voters live in even greater concentrations in swing states. Look for the Rust Belt to have some thoughts. Also Arizona, among others.
04:31 PM - May 19, 2024
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✨Witchy Woman✨
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
My day just got that much better!!!
03:33 PM - May 19, 2024
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Gray Since 97
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
So here for it!
03:34 PM - May 19, 2024
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Courtney Kimmelman (she/her)
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Good! Now we just wait for him to be sentenced to spend the rest of his life in Federal Prison.
04:02 PM - May 19, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 6 Threaded Spouts
In about a week, Trump could be a convicted felon. If Trump is convicted in New York before the GOP convention in July, it would create a highly volatile situation for the Republican Party. In other words, there will be a lot of chaos.

Here is what you can expect:
03:25 PM - May 19, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 6 Threaded Spouts
Nikki Haley will make her case for why she should replace Trump. Also, other high-profile Republicans who have been hesitant to challenge Trump will see this as an opportunity to present themselves as viable alternatives.
03:25 PM - May 19, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 6 Threaded Spouts
The conviction will lead to significant division among delegates. Some will remain loyal to Trump, viewing the conviction as politically motivated, while others will push for an alternative nominee to avoid the potential fallout of a convicted candidate.
03:25 PM - May 19, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 6 Threaded Spouts
If Trump is replaced as the nominee, a significant segment of Trump's supporters will be so disillusioned by his removal that they will choose not to vote at all in the general election, decreasing overall GOP voter turnout.
03:25 PM - May 19, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 6 Threaded Spouts
On the other hand, if Trump remains the nominee, swing voters and moderate Republicans will be deterred by the idea of voting for a convicted felon, potentially shifting their support to Biden, a third-party candidate, or staying home.
03:25 PM - May 19, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 6 Threaded Spouts
A Trump conviction will introduce significant uncertainty and challenges for Republicans, and the Democratic Party stands to benefit. No poll today can accurately predict what will happen in November if Trump is convicted. Ignore the polls.
03:25 PM - May 19, 2024
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Annie Bee Good
A
In response to The Harlander ✅.
Do Republicans not realize he's going to suck them dry? He's going to use the RNC as his personal bank. I don't get it. What will it take before they galvanize and say enough is enough?
09:52 AM - Mar 13, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
Trump assuming control over the RNC introduces a fresh layer of unpredictability. I must now account for the ensuing chaos and adjust my forecasts accordingly.
09:21 AM - Mar 13, 2024
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Jennifer Sloan
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Tough to gauge how s***** of a s*** show it's going to be 🤔
09:39 AM - Mar 13, 2024
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The Reluctant Townie
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
You called it early on. This year is going to be bonkers.
09:42 AM - Mar 13, 2024
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Happy Cat
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
Down ballot Blue.
Bring it
09:43 AM - Mar 13, 2024
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Susan L
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
lay everyone off
purge any potential witnesses
free up the cash
steal it all
...not a bad little plan all in all
09:47 AM - Mar 13, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 5 Threaded Spouts
Lastly, Biden and the Democrats raised $100 million at the end of 2023. The narrative that Democrats are in trouble is just simply false based on the data and the facts on the ground. If turnout is also low in New Hampshire, then it could be an early indicator that Republican enthusiasm is low.
02:56 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 5 Threaded Spouts
In Florida, Democrats overturned a previously Republican-dominated seat, with Tom Keen securing approximately 70 percent of independent votes. This demographic is vital for Democrats in November. A repeat of this trend in other states could pose a serious threat to Republican prospects.
02:56 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 5 Threaded Spouts
Adding to Republican concerns, nearly half of Nikki Haley's Iowa backers are reportedly ready to choose Biden over Trump. This trend, if mirrored in other states, could spell trouble for the GOP, whether through a shift in allegiance or reduced voter turnout.
02:56 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 5 Threaded Spouts
In the recent Iowa Republican presidential caucuses, only 110,298 votes were cast, compared to 186,932 in 2016. This significant drop of 76,634 votes might suggest reduced enthusiasm despite some attributing it to weather conditions.
02:56 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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Christopher Bouzy
A
thread 5 Threaded Spouts
Recent polls and "expert" opinions have been bleak about Biden's chances for reelection. However, recent elections and other critical data suggest a challenging scenario for the Republicans. In short, the Republicans have reasons to panic.
02:56 PM - Jan 18, 2024
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Dot
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
I’ve been sending friends your predictions. They’re believers.
05:54 PM - Dec 07, 2023
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Petronilo Nava
A
In response to Christopher Bouzy.
I trust your predictions. You have a proven record and I know it hasn’t been luck.
06:04 PM - Dec 07, 2023
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Christopher Bouzy
A
In November, I predicted Vivek Ramaswamy would be gone soon and Nikki Haley would come in second place in the first few primaries. You already know my feelings about polls, but I included the news headline here because Haley clearly has the momentum. In 2022, they said I got lucky. Lol...
05:39 PM - Dec 07, 2023
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Sweyn Forkbeard
A
“The Republican Party is expanding every day,” says man whose resignation shrinks the Republican House majority from an already precarious three seats to just two. #mccarthyistoast
12:20 PM - Dec 06, 2023
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Martini C
A
He wants to become a full time arsonist instead of part-time?

Kevin McCarthy resigns from Congress after being ousted as House speaker
He said he wants to "serve America in new ways."
12:34 PM - Dec 06, 2023
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Carla Vivarttas
B
In response to JayTuma1 (She/Her).
Might Kevin McCarthy be one of the 34?
12:44 PM - Dec 06, 2023
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JayTuma1 (She/Her)
A
12:34 PM - Dec 06, 2023
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Christopher Bouzy
A
Oh no, young voters are turning on Joe Biden! Wait... this sounds so familiar.🤔

The same thing was done to Obama in 2011. Ignore polls a year out from an election.
09:47 AM - Nov 19, 2023 (Edited)
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Brian Foley
A
When someone asks where to go when Twitter finishes imploding, you all know the answer...
06:43 PM - Jul 01, 2023
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